Market news, views and information from a Wall Street veteran

Monday, November 20, 2006

S&P100 Weekly Portfolio w/e Nov 20th



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  • New 1st time frame up trend.
  • Japanese candlestick Doji pattern - indecisiveness.
  • The market closed with neither the bulls nor bears keen or in control and both sides lost the commitment they had during the day.
  • There was downside price rejection from the resistance area, marked in orange on the chart. There is potential support just below the day's low at the area marked in yellow. The previous resistance area, marked in dark yellow, should be watched as another potential support area.
  • Triple MAs remain BULLISH.
  • MACD histogram remains ST bearish.
  • ST volatility continues to trend down and would be expected to find support over the next few days. ST volatility will then begin to trend up - potential trending action. So, expect a breakout in either direction within the next few days. Therefore, stops should be tightened by those who are long.
  • Volume continues to come off as the market attempted to take out the previous peak - bearish. This reflects the slight lack of power of the bulls in this attempt at swing highs.

Sunday, November 19, 2006

Weekly Sector Strength for w/e Nov 17th

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Ticker Name WEIGHTING
MG110 -Chemicals- OVERWEIGHT
MG120 -Energy- NEUTRAL
MG130 -Metals & Mining- NEUTRAL
MG210 -Conglomerates- NEUTRAL
MG310 -Consumer Durables- NEUTRAL
MG320 -Consumer Non-Durables- OVERWEIGHT
MG330 -Automotive- OVERWEIGHT
MG340 -Food & Beverage- NEUTRAL
MG350 -Tobacco- NEUTRAL
MG410 -Banking- NEUTRAL
MG420 -Financial Services- NEUTRAL
MG430 -Insurance- NEUTRAL
MG440 -Real Estate- NEUTRAL
MG510 -Drugs- NEUTRAL
MG520 -Health Services- NEUTRAL
MG610 -Aerospace/Defense- NEUTRAL
MG620 -Manufacturing- NEUTRAL
MG630 -Materials & Construction- NEUTRAL
MG710 -Leisure- OVERWEIGHT
MG720 -Media- OVERWEIGHT
MG730 -Retail- NEUTRAL
MG740 -Specialty Retail- NEUTRAL
MG750 -Wholesale- NEUTRAL
MG760 -Diversified Services- NEUTRAL
MG770 -Transportation- NEUTRAL
MG810 -Computer Hardware- OVERWEIGHT
MG820 -Computer Software & Services- OVERWEIGHT
MG830 -Electronics- NEUTRAL
MG840 -Telecommunications- OVERWEIGHT
MG850 -Internet- OVERWEIGHT
MG910 -Utilities- OVERWEIGHT

S&P100 Weekly Portfolio w/e Nov 17th

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Ticker Name Close BuyPrice BoughtWeeksAgo PctP/L
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc 195.04 162.71 9 19.87
MER Merrill Lynch & Co 90.87 77.16 9 17.77
TWX Time Warner Inc 20.43 17.73 8 15.23
CMCSA Comcast Corp Cl A 40.29 35.12 8 14.72
CSCO Cisco Systems Inc 26.93 23.77 2 13.29
XRX Xerox Corp 17.14 15.29 8 12.1
MSFT Microsoft Corp 29.4 26.85 9 9.5
GM General Motors Corp 35.37 33.34 4 6.09
EK Eastman Kodak Co 27.09 25.54 2 6.07
ATI Allegheny Technologies 78.65 74.26 5 5.91
ETR Entergy Corp 89.35 85.3 4 4.75
DD Du Pont de Nemours & Company E.I. 47.26 45.55 3 3.75
LTD Limited Brands Inc 30.8 29.7 2 3.7
IBM International Business Machines Corp 93.81 90.48 4 3.68
AEP American Electric Power 41.41 40 5 3.52
AIG American Internat Group 72.05 69.63 1 3.48
MS Morgan Stanley 79.12 76.68 1 3.18
AES Aes Corporation 22.38 21.73 3 2.99
OMX Officemax Inc 48.58 47.52 3 2.23
AXP American Express Co 59.84 58.86 1 1.66
CCU Clear Channel Comm Inc 35.22 34.7 3 1.5
MEDI Medimmune Inc 33.19 32.89 1 0.91
UIS Unisys Corp 6.94 6.88 1 0.87
WMB Williams Companies Inc 26.71 26.52 1 0.72
MRK Merck & Co 45.06 45.06 0 0
CI Cigna Corp 121.49 121.49 0 0
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation 73.08 74.42 1 -1.8

Friday, November 17, 2006

S&P500 Daily Analysis for Nov 17th



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  • New 1st time frame down trend.
  • The market closed with the bulls keen and in control but they lacked the commitment to take out yesterday's high.
  • The previous resistance area, marked in yellow on the chart, should be watched as a potential support area.
  • Triple MAs remain BULLISH.
  • MACD histogram has turned ST bearish.
  • ST volatility is trending down following a test of the resistance area marked in light orange on the chart. This suggests that the probabilities are, in the short term, that the market may pullback or consolidate.
  • Volume came off as the previous peak was made - slightly bearish.

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

Dow 30 stocks - Daily Outperforming and Underperforming for Nov 15th

ST BULLISH
AIG, BA, DD, INTC, MMM, XOM

ST BEARISH
JNJ, MCD, MRK, PFE, VZ

S&P500 Daily Analysis for Nov 15th



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  • UP trend remains intact.
  • The market closed with the bulls keen but they lost control and lacked commitment.
  • The previous resistance area, marked in yellow on the chart, should be watched as a potential close-by support area.
  • Triple MAs are BULLISH.
  • MACD histogram remains bullish.
  • ST volatility is trending up and will re-test some resistance within the next day or two. Perhaps this rally has another day or so to go (despite the neutral nature of short term supply/demand) before a correction or consolidation.

Saturday, November 11, 2006

Weekly Sector Strength for w/e Nov 10th

Name WEIGHTING
-Chemicals- OVERWEIGHT
-Energy- NEUTRAL
-Metals & Mining- NEUTRAL
-Conglomerates- NEUTRAL
-Consumer Durables- OVERWEIGHT
-Consumer Non-Durables- OVERWEIGHT
-Automotive- OVERWEIGHT
-Food & Beverage- NEUTRAL
-Tobacco- NEUTRAL
-Banking- NEUTRAL
-Financial Services- NEUTRAL
-Insurance- NEUTRAL
-Real Estate- NEUTRAL
-Drugs- NEUTRAL
-Health Services- NEUTRAL
-Aerospace/Defense- NEUTRAL
-Manufacturing- NEUTRAL
-Materials & Construction- NEUTRAL
-Leisure- OVERWEIGHT
-Media- OVERWEIGHT
-Retail- NEUTRAL
-Specialty Retail- OVERWEIGHT
-Wholesale- NEUTRAL
-Diversified Services- NEUTRAL
-Transportation- NEUTRAL
-Computer Hardware- OVERWEIGHT
-Computer Software & Services- OVERWEIGHT
-Electronics- NEUTRAL
-Telecommunications- OVERWEIGHT
-Internet- NEUTRAL
-Utilities- OVERWEIGHT

S&P100 Weekly Portfolio w/e Nov 10th

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Ticker Name Close BuyPrice BoughtWeeksAgo PctP/L
MER Merrill Lynch & Co 89 77.16 8 15.34
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc 187.06 162.71 8 14.97
CMCSA Comcast Corp Cl A 40.31 35.12 7 14.78
MCD Mcdonalds Corp 41.97 36.76 10 14.17
CSCO Cisco Systems Inc 26.74 23.77 1 12.49
TWX Time Warner Inc 19.71 17.73 7 11.17
XRX Xerox Corp 16.9 15.29 7 10.53
HPQ Hewlett-Packard Co 39.99 36.69 6 8.99
MSFT Microsoft Corp 29.24 26.85 8 8.9
LTD Limited Brands Inc 32.1 29.7 1 8.08
GM General Motors Corp 34.67 33.34 3 3.99
EK Eastman Kodak Co 26.52 25.54 1 3.84
DD Du Pont de Nemours & Company E.I. 47.3 45.55 2 3.84
AEP American Electric Power 41.48 40 4 3.7
AES Aes Corporation 22.35 21.73 2 2.85
ATI Allegheny Technologies 76.37 74.26 4 2.84
OMX Officemax Inc 48.78 47.52 2 2.65
ETR Entergy Corp 86.73 85.3 3 1.68
IBM International Business Machines Corp 91.76 90.48 3 1.41
CCU Clear Channel Comm Inc 34.97 34.7 2 0.78
SO Southern Company The 36.07 36.03 2 0.11
MS Morgan Stanley 76.68 76.68 0 0
WMB Williams Companies Inc 26.52 26.52 0 0
DIS Walt Disney Co The 32.4 32.4 0 0
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation 74.42 74.42 0 0
MEDI Medimmune Inc 32.89 32.89 0 0
AXP American Express Co 58.86 58.86 0 0
AVP Avon Products Inc 33.14 33.14 0 0
ORCL Oracle Corporation 18.78 18.78 0 0
AIG American Internat Group 69.63 69.63 0 0
UIS Unisys Corp 6.88 6.88 0 0
CVX Chevron Corp 69.54 69.54 0 0

Thursday, November 09, 2006

Dow 30 stocks - Daily Outperforming and Underperforming for Nov 9th

ST BULLISH
AA, AXP, BA, DD, DIS, HPQ, IBM, MSFT, PG, XOM

ST BEARISH
CAT, HD, INTC, PFT, T, VZ, WMT

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S&P500 Daily Analysis for Nov 9th



  • Send an email to wallandbroad.com@gmail.com for a complimentary copy of our weekly newsletter.
  • UP trend remains intact.
  • The market closed with the bears keen, in control and committed.
  • Once again, there was downside price rejection from the resistance area marked in orange. Watch the next support level marked in yellow.
  • There is a potential double top pattern forming. No action can be taken yet. The pattern will be confirmed upon breakout below the intervening trough, around the support level marked in yellow, below the two peaks.
  • Triple MAs are NEUTRAL.
  • MACD histogram has given a ST SELL signal.
  • ST volatility has found resistance around the area marked in green. Expect a pullback or ST consolidation. The next support area could be at the resistance formed by the previous two peaks or at the swing lows marked in yellow.
  • Volume has picked up as the market sold off - slightly bearish for tomorrow.

Monday, November 06, 2006

S&P500 Daily Analysis for Nov 6th


  • Send an email to wallandbroad.com@gmail.com for a complimentary copy of our weekly newsletter.
  • New 1st time frame UP trend.
  • Japanese Candlestick White Marubozu pattern.
  • The market closed with the bulls keen, in control and committed.
  • The area marked in yellow held as a solid support area over the last few days. This is a significant area and should be watched if the market approaches it again.
  • Triple MAs are BULLISH.
  • MACD histogram has given a BUY signal.
  • ST volatility has picked up again but will approach some significant resistance areas within the next week. One must wonder whether the previous swing high will be taken out by the current up swing.

Saturday, November 04, 2006

Weekly S&P100 Portfolio w/e Nov 3rd

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Ticker Name Close BuyPrice BoughtWeeksAgo PctP/L
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc 187.13 162.71 7 15.01
CMCSA Comcast Corp Cl A 40.02 35.12 6 13.95
MER Merrill Lynch & Co 86.72 77.16 7 12.39
MCD Mcdonalds Corp 41.24 36.76 9 12.19
TWX Time Warner Inc 19.84 17.73 6 11.9
XRX Xerox Corp 16.74 15.29 6 9.48
MSFT Microsoft Corp 28.73 26.85 7 7
HPQ Hewlett-Packard Co 38.22 36.69 5 4.17
GM General Motors Corp 34.23 33.34 2 2.67
AEP American Electric Power 40.94 40 3 2.35
ATI Allegheny Technologies 75.32 74.26 3 1.43
AMGN Amgen Inc 74.87 73.95 2 1.24
IBM International Business Machines Corp 91.41 90.48 2 1.03
AES Aes Corporation 21.91 21.73 1 0.83
CI Cigna Corp 120.68 120.68 0 0
LTD Limited Brands Inc 29.7 29.7 0 0
T AT&T Inc 33.72 33.72 0 0
CSCO Cisco Systems Inc 23.77 23.77 0 0
EK Eastman Kodak Co 25.54 25.54 0 0
OMX Officemax Inc 47.36 47.52 1 -0.34
SO Southern Company The 35.77 36.03 1 -0.72
CCU Clear Channel Comm Inc 34.35 34.7 1 -1.01
DD Du Pont de Nemours & Company E.I. 45.08 45.55 1 -1.03
MRK Merck & Co 45.1 45.64 2 -1.18
ETR Entergy Corp 84.26 85.3 2 -1.22

Weekly Sector Strength for w/e Nov 3rd

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Name WEIGHTING
-Chemicals- OVERWEIGHT
-Energy- NEUTRAL
-Metals & Mining- NEUTRAL
-Conglomerates- NEUTRAL
-Consumer Durables- OVERWEIGHT
-Consumer Non-Durables- OVERWEIGHT
-Automotive- OVERWEIGHT
-Food & Beverage- NEUTRAL
-Tobacco- NEUTRAL
-Banking- NEUTRAL
-Financial Services- NEUTRAL
-Insurance- NEUTRAL
-Real Estate- OVERWEIGHT
-Drugs- NEUTRAL
-Health Services- NEUTRAL
-Aerospace/Defense- NEUTRAL
-Manufacturing- NEUTRAL
-Materials & Construction- NEUTRAL
-Leisure- OVERWEIGHT
-Media- OVERWEIGHT
-Retail- NEUTRAL
-Specialty Retail- OVERWEIGHT
-Wholesale- NEUTRAL
-Diversified Services- NEUTRAL
-Transportation- NEUTRAL
-Computer Hardware- OVERWEIGHT
-Computer Software & Services- OVERWEIGHT
-Electronics- NEUTRAL
-Telecommunications- OVERWEIGHT
-Internet- OVERWEIGHT
-Utilities- OVERWEIGHT

Thursday, November 02, 2006

Dow 30 stocks - Daily Outperforming and Underperforming for Nov 2nd

ST BULLISH
AA, GM, IBM, MSFT

ST BEARISH
C, CAT, GE, INTC, PFE, WMT

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S&P500 Daily Analysis for Nov 2nd



  • Send an email to wallandbroad.com@gmail.com for a complimentary copy of our weekly newsletter.
  • 1st time frame down trend remains intact.
  • Japanese Candlestick Hammer reversal pattern.
  • The market closed with the bears slightly keener but not as keen as yesterday. The bears lost control of the market today and lacked the commitment to close down near the lows while the bulls finished the day in control.
  • There was upside price rejection from the support area, marked in yellow, yesterday. This area is quite significant due to the number of times there was consistent upside price rejection a few weeks ago.
  • Triple MAs remain NEUTRAL.
  • MACD histogram remains bearish.
  • ST volatility has turned down having tested a short term resistance level marked in orange. Will the yellow level provide support for volatility ?
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