Market news, views and information from a Wall Street veteran

Friday, September 29, 2006

Dow 30 stocks - Daily Outperforming and Underperforming

Bullish ST
AXP, BA, DIS, GE, GM, HON, INTC, MCD, MSFT, WMT

Bearish ST
MO

S&P500 Daily Analysis



  • Inside day - denotes indecision.
  • Bears closed the day in control but not committed enough to take out yesterday's low.
  • Triple MAs remain BULLISH.
  • MACD histogram has turned down - ST pullback likely.
  • ST volatility trending down - consolidation or ST pullback.
  • Volume coming off as bulls lose intensity - profit-taking ? Will this become another setup to eventually get long ?
  • If pullback occurs, watch previous resistance area around 1328 (marked in yellow on chart) to act as support.

Thursday, September 28, 2006

Dow 30 stocks - Daily Outperforming and Underperforming

Bullish ST
AXP, BA, DD, GE, HON, INTC, MCD, MSFT, WMT

Bearish ST
MO

S&P500 Daily Analysis


  • Japanese Candlestick Hanging Man reversal pattern - potential ST pullback BUT confirmation required.
  • Triple MAs remain BULLISH.
  • MACD histogram has turned down - ST pullback likely.
  • ST volatility has halted at resistance - consolidation or ST pullback unless resistance can be taken out.
  • Volume has come off as high made - bulls lacking conviction - ST pullback a possibility.
  • If pullback occurs, watch previous resistance area around 1328 (marked in yellow on chart) to act as support.

Wednesday, September 27, 2006

Dow 30 stocks - Daily Outperforming and Underperforming

Bullish ST
AIG, AXP, BA, GE, HON, INTC, MCD, MMM, MRK, MSFT, PG, WMT,

Bearish ST
HPQ, MO,

S&P500 Daily Analysis


  • Market closed indecisively.
  • Prospective Japanese candlestick reversal pattern - Spinning Top or Doji - denotes indecisiveness but NEEDS confirmation.
  • Triple MAs remain BULLISH
  • MACD histogram remains BULLISH
  • ST volatility trending up BUT has halted at resistance area marked on the chart.
  • Volume failed to move higher with the swing - NEUTRAL.
  • Possible short-term pullback ahead.

Dow 30 stocks - Daily Outperforming and Underperforming

Bullish ST
AXP, BA, DD, DIS, GE, HON, MCD, MMM, T, VZ, WMT

Bearish ST
MO

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

S&P500 Daily Analysis


  • Another bullish day.
  • Important resistance area taken out.
  • Next signiifcant resistance around 1380 region - nice potential for this current move.
  • Triple MAs remain BULLISH
  • MACD histogram is BULLISH
  • ST volatility trending up, so it looks like the current swing should develop further, at least until the ST volatility hits the resistance area marked on the chart.
  • Volume is appreciating with the swing - BULLISH.

Monday, September 25, 2006

S&P500 Daily Analysis



  • An extremely bullish day with some price rejection from previous highs.
  • Triple moving averages remains bullish.
  • MACD histogram BUY signal.
  • Short term volatility trending up from a base - expect to see more ST trending action.
  • Will this market take out the important resistance level tomorrow ? Let's see. This market seems to have enough momentum to do so but will it be sustained ?

S&P500 Weekly Analysis

Weekly

The weekly Cycle Gauge is B5. This indicates that the market has been in the Advancing Phase for five weeks.

  • 54% (73% prev) of stocks closed above their 4 week MA - ST BEARISH.
  • 61% (63% prev) of stocks closed above their 30 week MA - MT BULLISH.
BULLISH SECTORS
  • Consumer Non-Durables
  • Drugs
  • Insurance
  • Real Estate
  • Media
  • Computer Software and Services
BEARISH SECTORS
  • Energy
  • Metals and Mining
  • Transportation
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