Market news, views and information from a Wall Street veteran

Saturday, January 27, 2007

S&P500 WEEKLY Analysis for Jan 26th



  • 53% (64% prev) of stocks closed above their 4 week MA – ST BEARISH.
  • 80% (84% prev) of stocks closed above their 30 week MA - MT NEUTRAL.
  • 79% (79% prev) of stocks closed above their 52 week MA - LT BULLISH.
  • 1st time frame up trend intact but outside period denotes indecision.
  • The market closed with the bears keen, showing moderate control but losing commitment following a significant loss of commitment from the bulls earlier in the week.
  • The resistance area, marked dark yellow, was tested for the seventh week in succession. This area is extremely important. Market action could potentially explode if this area is broken to the upside. Once again, this area and the support area, marked dark red, should be watched next week.
  • Triple MAs remain BULLISH.
  • MACD histogram has changed to ST BEARISH.
  • ST volatility has lost momentum, as suggested last week. The close-by resistance in ST volatility held. There is a possibility that volatility could stall for a short period. If that is the case, we could see ST consolidation or a re-test of the support area.
  • Volume was slightly greater than on the previous upswing high – no volume divergence.
  • 53% of socks are above their 4 week MA – ST BEARISH.

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